8. [–]Stale_Butter 9 points10 points11 points 1 month ago (0 children), [–]Starkheiser 1358 points1359 points1360 points 1 month ago (101 children), “1 in 7.5 trillion is just lucky tho”, [–]admadguy 436 points437 points438 points 1 month ago (96 children). The official PLAYERUNKNOWN'S BATTLEGROUNDS designed exclusively for mobile. [–]A_plural_singularity 11 points12 points13 points 1 month ago (1 child), [–]charlesgegethor 11 points12 points13 points 1 month ago (0 children). EDIT: To be clear, I don't think that n3onfx's question is unreasonable. This rabbit hole has been fascinating. The fact you referred to this as lore absolutely killed me. 3. Check the sub for your story before you submit it; if it’s already here then please vote and comment there instead of posting another version. will not be tolerated and you will be banned. While what's being asked might be similar to gambler's fallacy, it's still important to question any results where you think there might be an error, or something else that could throw the results out of whack. My advising professor got his Chemical Engineering PhD in the 70s, according to him quite a few of his fellow PhD classmates got hired by stock trading firms to help develop the mathematical models for predicting trends (subsequently they're all obscenely wealthy now). Edit: it was based on back to back runs on steam. [–]EnadZT 1826 points1827 points1828 points 1 month ago (71 children). It's fairly trivial to use a Java debugger to change parameters to increase drop rates, and even change the code in-memory since it's Java. Usually in these sorts of things the person with all of these qualifications has their name mentioned to show how credible they are. filled with flaws. The dude's really fucking popular, getting an okay spot on a speedrun leaderboard won't do anything. He told his follows to be kind to others and there is no evidence of Dream orchestrating anything) and fell to negatives of hundreds of karma before being pulled back into the positive recently. [–]BrosephToDaMoon 108 points109 points110 points 1 month ago (11 children). Whether or not that is ethical, I leave that up to the reader. I had no interest in doing the PhD, as research and academia isn’t really what I saw myself doing the rest of my life. [–]FieldMarshalFry2 157 points158 points159 points 1 month ago (9 children), [–]curly_redhead 58 points59 points60 points 1 month ago (6 children), What would you say to an egg? But who knows. [–]Alkalinum 338 points339 points340 points 1 month ago (6 children). Especially if you're look at statistical frequency more than anything else. Some people noticed he finds way too many rare materials so they concluded that he uses cheats to increase the chance of finding those materials. Dream actually dug himself deeper with this rebuttal, but his young fans would never see this. Get an ad-free experience with special benefits, and directly support Reddit. Dream hired an anonymous expert to look into the probability for himself. Please do not post non-English articles. [–]Sjatar 211 points212 points213 points 1 month ago (46 children), [–]j0iNt37 113 points114 points115 points 1 month ago (39 children), https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yfLURFdDhMfrvI2cFMdYM8f_M_IRoAlM/view, Since it’s probably fairer to give both sides, [–]arrigh1 73 points74 points75 points 1 month ago (4 children). I'm interested to see how this turns out. Please ensure you aren’t submitting a link that utilizes a paywall or survey wall (nytimes.com, thetimes.co.uk) in order gain access to the complete article. The vast majority of his fanbase won't look for further evidence and move on. This is to say that if I randomly select a series of runs from his set of runs, I should expect similar results as one run does not influence the luck of the other. [–]allnamesgotyoinked 3397 points3398 points3399 points 1 month ago* (183 children). [–]elmonoenano 22 points23 points24 points 1 month ago (2 children). The oldest widely-known video was uploaded on July 13, 2014, titled "1000 subs". [–]Conspiracy313 78 points79 points80 points 1 month ago (4 children). Witch hunting or brigading is not allowed. No amount of EvIdEnCe will change my mind. Drop in, gear up, and compete. I have a master’s degree in a field that uses a lot of applied mathematics. Good astrophysicists (could just say “physicist”) would generally be expected to have a firm grasp of statistics, as the work often requires it (applied physics tends to revolve around detecting signals in high noise). Code Snippets below. Do not post any public or private contact info. So they should all know how to figure out roughly the same material. It seems incredible that they did not double check data that was provided by the accused. [–]Confident-Victory-21 24 points25 points26 points 1 month ago (0 children), [–]gajbooks 78 points79 points80 points 1 month ago (16 children). [–]OcktaI 29 points30 points31 points 1 month ago (0 children). I mean, getting paid isn't the issue. [–]formershitpeasant 37 points38 points39 points 1 month ago (7 children). but for everyone else on the podcast, they had a perfectly good opportunity to ask dream ab the cheating situation when he was on the podcast, yet they chose the one time he couldn’t defend himself to bring it up. are all huge, and pull in a lot of revenue. It's trivially easy to modify "last modified" dates on files and falsify stuff like that. The Minecraft Speedrunning Team is holding firm in their ruling that Dream cheated his Minecraft Java Edition 1.16 RSG speedrun from October.. "Harvard Astrophysics" who refuses to give out a name, barely has a Stat 101 level understanding of statistics, the company he references has a month old website with no information with the default site layout, and /r/statistics shot down the entire document in like 2 hours. Youtube comments were liteally saying “i have no idea what you are saying but i believe you” word for word. Everyone has a dream. [–]Contemplatetheveiled 1405 points1406 points1407 points 1 month ago* (194 children). It's also the reason why casinos showing the roulette table's history is complete bs. So do economists and pollsters and epidemiologists and cliometricians a bunch of other fields. The odds of winning the Powerball lottery in the US are 1 in 292.2 million. 1 : 7.5 trillion is just ridiculous odds, and that's the upper bound. Just really showed me that tech and financial service companies are desperately hungry for people able to utilize all their data to the fullest extent. [–]arctic_man 84 points85 points86 points 1 month ago (10 children). I would tell this to my professors and they would try to convince me to keep going by setting me up to talk with representatives from companies looking for PhDs to recruit. Whether this project is out of date or its author has marked it as abandoned, this project is no longer maintained. Most submissions do not make the cut, and please do not treat removals under rule 2 as a personal attack, they simply happen with our content model. [+]TheAngriestOwl 28 points29 points30 points 1 month ago (12 children), Eh, it’s a fair point that it would have made more sense for him to hire a statistician, but physicists (and most scientists) have to have a shit ton of statistics training and at least be competent in it, to try and show that the results of their experiments are statistically significant or not. When I wake up I almost have this urge to find the guy I dreamed about. Does this ‘Harvard astrophysicist’ even exist?.. Harvard astrophysicist is some straight up /r/iamverysmart copypasta. I guess time will tell. The number of PhDs working at Facebook to model audiences for ads is staggering. But like he could easily avoid all of this just by saying, "that's odd I wonder if one of the plugins we used some how broke the installation I have of minecraft, while I was speed running and increased the odds. If you think those two things don't matter that's pretty sad. And that's exactly what dream wanted to happen. Not just 1 in 100 million that this happens to a specific individual. 2: he switched formulas really quickly once he got boosted and started making his own content that distanced himself from the things that had started carrying him. He got so lucky that the odds were definitely against him, but that doesn't make him a cheater, it makes him lucky. The fact that he claims to have hired someone who's primary field doesn't seem related certainly makes it harder to take this rebuttal seriously. PUBG MOBILE delivers the most intense free-to-play multiplayer action on mobile. [–]elmonoenano 206 points207 points208 points 1 month ago (31 children). People have criticized the lack of objective information that he provided, and the “new maths” that he talked about. Dream did however, … Dream FINAL RESPONSE to Speedrun Cheating Scandal | FINALE REMATCH https://t.co/dvAqf7tZ4R via @YouTube. Variations/imperfections in the composition of those items can lead to deviation from the “perfect” statistical model. If would protect him in the sense that the community could not accuse him of "cheating with intent". [–]montyfatcat 15 points16 points17 points 1 month ago (0 children). A Minecraft live stream involving Jschlatt, Wilbur and Tommyinnit, has caused controversy after Jschlatt was kicked out of the server. zero1237 02/16/21 • posted 02/01/2021. Man I legit don't know why he is even doing this just seems silly, he is a good content creator with the challenges he sets up and his friends. – popular memes on the site ifunny.co His "astrophysicist" himself literally admits it would be improbable to get those odds without cheating in the papers. Anyway, I'm sure this drama has been stressful for most of the Minecraft community, and a lot of that was probably due to my original response to the drama, so I take full responsibility for that. [–]lolslim 274 points275 points276 points 1 month ago* (24 children). Regardless of how many times I flip a tails out of your view, you should still expect me to flip 50/50 when you start to observe my flipping, regardless of what time you start looking. [–]DarbyBartholomew 12 points13 points14 points 1 month ago (1 child), Trubisky says "Get in losers, we're going to the Superbowl! Even the person Dream hired came out with 1 in 100 million odds. I'd ask three questions. Because Minecraft is procedurally generated, there's a lot of random chance that goes into speedrunning it, on top of RNG for certain loot items from NPCs. Dream's Minecraft skin is green with a white humanoid character ("blob"). All versions. The conclusion was therefore that he probably cheated by editing his game files somehow. Minecraft YouTuber Dream’s death hoax has gone viral across social media with #RIPDream trending all over on 4th January. All he needed to do was make a video to clear his name in their eyes and that's exactly what he accomplished. its a statistical impossibilityalthough dream did make a response video where he said it was a 1/10million chance which is a LOT smaller but on average only a few people would ever get that chance so its odd for someone trying to get a world record speedrun to get it, Quoted from the paper at the top of page 2. [–]MysteryRanger 39 points40 points41 points 1 month ago (5 children), Some fields of astronomy are extremely statistical, [–]imsmartiswear 22 points23 points24 points 1 month ago (0 children). We're all laughing but it would be a lie to say it wasn't a success. [+]shunabuna 105 points106 points107 points 1 month ago (5 children), [–]ex1stence 92 points93 points94 points 1 month ago (4 children). If you're going to challenge the statistical models used to form the basis of the decision that he was cheating, or to create models that are better able to detect cheating and rule out false positives, then it seems like a statistician is the way to go. [–]nayhem_jr 420 points421 points422 points 1 month ago (15 children). With the amount of money Dream's sized content creator makes, he could have easily gotten a believable person who could vouch for it publicly. Moreover, Minecraft fans were surprised to find that the “response video” merely brings down the odds of Dream not cheating to around one in ten million. Can anyone ELI5? Not much is known about Dream. I don't think the group you are talking about makes up a large percentage of Reddit users... [–]misterfahrenheight 5381 points5382 points5383 points 1 month ago (164 children), Imagine working so hard, working at one of the best Ivy League schools, probably having a PhD, and this is what you get asked to do, [–]Snow-Flower 3531 points3532 points3533 points 1 month ago2 (79 children), [–]ta11_kid 620 points621 points622 points 1 month ago (13 children). I'm not saying I read through them, I haven't picked a side. He is very much alive and what was initially started off as a joke took a serious turn and fans unaware of the pun were scared to death. [–]meat_toboggan69 8 points9 points10 points 1 month ago* (1 child). [–]Baxterftw 42 points43 points44 points 1 month ago* (1 child), I need Matt Parker from stand up maths to tear him down, Hes done some great videos The more I read of all this, the more I regret coming across any of it in the first place. Getting bad luck at one point in time does not make good luck at a different point in time more likely. Dream’s response video on the Minecraft cheating scandal gets torn apart on various social media platforms. https://mcspeedrun.com/dream.pdf Where Dream compiled data from 4 streams, and counted 134 kills, while the mod team counted 305 kills over 6 streams, https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P58S94yKB3Bm4A4_VotWyeelk_PvaTE1nDZx9DalEyk/edit#gid=0), [–]ONLYSCREAMSANDCURSES 139 points140 points141 points 1 month ago (3 children). I wasn't comparing Dream to a drug-taking runner, per se; rather, it was the community's reaction to the allegations that I was focusing on. [–]liteshadow4 1252 points1253 points1254 points 1 month ago (59 children), Dream's defense was unironically "You are nitpicking and biased, I win bye bye", [–]outdatedboat 632 points633 points634 points 1 month ago (26 children). Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our User Agreement and Privacy Policy. I read the second report, and Dream’s guy made some really iffy assumptions. [–]Exkallibur12 65 points66 points67 points 1 month ago (0 children), [–]Devilshaker 26 points27 points28 points 1 month ago (1 child), [–]awesomeperson 18 points19 points20 points 1 month ago (2 children), This is prime content for Drama Mondays tho, although it would be unethical for him to create the drama himself so I dont think he'd do that, [+]DirkBeenis 17 points18 points19 points 1 month ago (1 child), [+]Jomanderisreal 79 points80 points81 points 1 month ago (8 children). It's actually more shocking to find out they did it entirely clean tbh. They basically figured out that based on the pattern of the roulette table's previous numbers they could determine the next number or possible next numbers based on how the groves wore into the underside of the roulette wheel. Dream, a Minecraft content creator with over 14 million subscribers on YouTube, is in hot water following accusations of cheating during a speedrun. We do care about how many times he has streamed, since those are additional opportunities for Dream to have been noticed getting extremely lucky, and if he had gotten similarly lucky during one of those streams an investigation still would have occurred. [–]JimC29 42 points43 points44 points 1 month ago (0 children). [–]mfb- 14 points15 points16 points 1 month ago (0 children). He knows that they will blindly follow him and take his side. Dream hires Harvard astrophysicist to disprove Minecraft cheating accusations, when you can just link the reddit directly, https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EvxcvO4-guI73FH5pMUJ-zEHhV-L1yuJ/view, https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P58S94yKB3Bm4A4_VotWyeelk_PvaTE1nDZx9DalEyk/edit#gid=0. Even if these odds were right they wouldn't help Dream's case at all, which is fucking comical. Minecraft no anti-cheat servers. Regardless, while most people have talked about various aspects of the video itself, some addressed how it did not serve the purpose Dream said it would. I know him mainly for his speedruns of minecraft with people chasing him. You have to be good at the game obviously, but the random chance can make a lot of speedruns untenable. [–]Auctoritate 288 points289 points290 points 1 month ago (9 children). Hè got famous by finding PewDiePie s seed. Yeah, so Dream participated in Minecraft speedrunning. [+]Claymourn 42 points43 points44 points 1 month ago (17 children). [+]123Eurydice 6 points7 points8 points 1 month ago (0 children).